Geopolitics
Resolves: Jul 2027 7 months left Volume: $85K

Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

YES
86c
NO
14c

As of November 2, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?” at 86% YES with $85K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 86%: Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards. Currently, markets see this as likely (86% YES).

Up from 84% to 86% since 2026-09-07 (+2pp)

What’s Happening

Awards forecasters are converging on Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the frontrunner to lead nominations at the 99th Academy Awards, with nominations scheduled to be announced on Jan. 21, 2027. Variety's awards circuit projects the epic to tally 15 nominations, ahead of Dune: Part Three (11), La Bola Negra (10), Project Hail Mary (8) and The Invite (6). The film also sits atop Gold Derby's Best Picture odds at 95.8%, with Nolan at 93.1% for Best Director and the ensemble cited at 95.6% in the Best Casting category. The question of whether The Odyssey will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards has become a central storyline of the season, with pundits debating whether it can match or exceed the record 16 nominations set by Sinners earlier this year. [Variety, Oct 23]

The technical and below-the-line categories are where the margin is expected to be built. Billboard reported that composer Ludwig Göransson, scoring his third consecutive Nolan film after Tenet and Oppenheimer, could be headed for another Oscar, adding a likely Original Score nod to the film's projected haul. Oppenheimer, Nolan's previous feature, earned 13 nominations, his most-nominated film to date, giving forecasters a baseline for how Academy voters treat his large-scale productions. Gold Derby's instant predictions chart the path Odysseus and crew must navigate to match or exceed the Sinners record, with Best Picture, Director, Supporting Actress for Anne Hathaway, Casting and Cinematography all listed among the film's strongest positions. [Billboard, Jul 21]

Analysts caution that the field remains incomplete, with several contending titles yet to be screened for voters before the nomination window closes. Awards Daily noted that not all films have been seen and that a healthy industry response to The Odyssey "might mean that bigger is back," while acknowledging uncertainty over whether voters would favor an international Netflix contender over Nolan's epic. The structural factor determining the outcome will be the breadth of support across craft branches: a strong showing in technical categories could push the film's total toward or past the 16-nomination threshold, while a narrower base of support would leave it short. Whether The Odyssey will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards will be settled when the Academy unveils its full slate on Jan. 21, 2027. [Awards Daily, Oct 2]

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

As of November 2026, Polymarket prices this at 86% YES with $85K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.