Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES). Bitcoin closes in on $80k.
Down from 26% to 6% since 2026-04-23 (-20pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $378K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 6c YES with $378K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.