Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 40% YES on Polymarket with $91K in total trading volume.

Q: What do AI models predict for 'Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?'?

OddsShift runs mathematical models (Bayesian Update, PIN, Compound Signal) plus independent AI models (Claude, DeepSeek, Grok, Gemini, Kimi) on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 45c YES. 1 models agree on direction. See full model breakdown on the market page.

60c

YES

40c

Prediction markets put the probability at 34%: Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026. Currently, markets are divided (34% YES, 66% NO). The former senator is another big Democratic recruiting win and is a main reason why this state is a Toss-Up.

Up from 38% to 40% since 2026-04-06 (+2pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $91K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($91K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 40c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 40% YES with $91K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What do AI models predict for Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 45c YES. 1 models agree on direction.