Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 8% YES on Polymarket with $78K in total trading volume.

92c

YES

Prediction markets put the probability at 7%: Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (7% YES).

Up from 6% to 8% since 2026-04-17 (+2pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $78K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($78K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 8c YES.

Last updated: April 29, 2026, 22:06 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

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As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 8% YES with $78K in total volume.

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.