Politics
Resolves: Dec 2026 8 months left Volume: $189K

Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

NO
89c
YES
11c

Prediction markets put the probability at 11%: Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (11% YES). This was the week questions about the future of the prime minister took a turn for the worse for Sir Keir Starmer.

Up from 7% to 11% since 2026-04-16 (+4pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $189K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 11c YES with $189K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Last updated: April 24, 2026, 22:06 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 11% YES with $189K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.