Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
NO
89c
YES
11c
Prediction markets put the probability at 11%: Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (11% YES). This was the week questions about the future of the prime minister took a turn for the worse for Sir Keir Starmer.
Up from 7% to 11% since 2026-04-16 (+4pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $189K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 11c YES with $189K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.