Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?

As of September 1, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?” at 18% YES with $492K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 19%: Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (19% YES). No trades at 83% in the market asking whether Ethereum will dip to $1,750 before the end of 2026, compared with 17% for Yes.

What’s Happening

As of late August 2026, the prediction market contract asking whether Ethereum will dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026, is trading at 19% YES versus 81% NO, a shift from the 17% YES level recorded on August 24. The contract has accumulated $137,848 in 24-hour volume and holds $53,678 in liquidity, with resolution scheduled for January 1, 2027. With ETH trading near $2,454 on August 24, reaching the target would require a decline of nearly 29% from that level, though the contract’s resolution rules leave more room for a Yes outcome than the headline odds might suggest. [Coingape, Aug 24]

The broader market context shows Ethereum trading at $2,389.65 as of August 23, with the largest live Ether price market on Polymarket—carrying $12.25 million in volume—pricing a $3,000 target by December 31, 2026, at 49%, while pricing a dip to $1,750 at 26% on that date. The bulk of probability mass sits between roughly $1,750 and $3,500, with a coinflip at $3,000. This distribution indicates that traders see a wide range of outcomes, with the $1,750 level acting as a significant downside scenario rather than a base case. [Financefeeds, Aug 22]

Recent price action has been volatile, with Ethereum losing the $2,000 threshold in late August as whale selling accelerated and retail "buy the dip" chatter surged. Earlier in the year, on February 23, 2026, ETH was trading near $1,870 after briefly dipping to a low of $1,845, with technical indicators suggesting a breach of the critical $1,800 support was highly probable if sell volumes persisted—a daily close below that level would likely trigger automated stop-loss orders, potentially accelerating a move toward $1,570 or lower. The current probability of 19% for an Ethereum dip to $1,750 reflects both the substantial distance from current prices and the historical precedent of sharp drawdowns in volatile crypto markets. [Cryptoticker, Feb 23]

Traded on Polymarket — $492K Volume