Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 6% YES on Polymarket with $59K in total trading volume.

94c

YES

Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES). Brazil's Lula suffers heavy defeat as Senate rejects Supreme Court nominee | Reuters.

Down from 10% to 6% since 2026-05-04 (-4pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $59K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($59K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 6c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $59K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.