Politics
Resolves: Dec 2026 7 months left Volume: $51K

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

NO
80c
YES
20c

Prediction markets put the probability at 20%: Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (20% YES).

Currently at 20%

Traded on Polymarket — $51K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($51K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 20c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 20% YES with $51K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.