Geopolitics
Resolves: Mar 2027 4 months left Volume: $51K

Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?

NO
66c
YES
34c

As of October 23, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?” at 34% YES with $51K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.

Prediction markets give a 34% probability to: will no next israeli minister of justice be appointed by february 28, 2027?.

Currently at 34%

Traded on Polymarket — $51K Volume

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MODERATE AI VERDICT
BUY NO 67c

Smart money entered NO at 60c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

+43% TARGET YIELD
40c
95c
100c
67c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 60c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xa4b3..b8RetailNO$10.8K+10%
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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 60c. At current price 34c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 34c YES — $51K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 34c with $51K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 34c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket34c$51K
Our Model34c—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 34% YES with $51K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.