Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Prediction markets put the probability at 48%: Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31. Currently, markets are divided (48% YES, 52% NO). That’s because the valuation of just three startups, SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic, have exploded over the last year.

What’s Happening

Anthropic enters mid-2026 at the center of an unprecedented private-market repricing wave. According to Forbes, the AI safety company was valued at $380 billion as of May 14, 2026, with reports it was in talks to "at least match" OpenAI's $852 billion valuation in a fresh fundraise. Days later, the Financial Times reported Anthropic was set to raise $300 billion at a $900 billion valuation — a figure that would surpass OpenAI outright. The repricing coincides with a $200 million, four-year partnership with the Gates Foundation announced May 18, deploying Anthropic's models for healthcare, education and agriculture tooling in developing economies. [Forbes, May 14]

The question of whether anthropic's valuation hit (high) $1.75T by december 31 turns on enterprise revenue momentum and the pace of secondary-market repricing. CNBC placed Anthropic at the top of its 2026 Disruptor 50 list on May 19, citing enterprise growth that has outpaced OpenAI's despite ChatGPT's earlier consumer breakout. The same day, Polymarket opened private-company contracts referencing Anthropic and OpenAI valuation milestones, IPO timing and secondary-market activity — formalizing speculation around private AI marks that previously traded only via tender offers. A separate court fight between Anthropic and the Pentagon over a federal blacklisting added regulatory overhang to the funding narrative. [CNBC, May 19]

For anthropic's valuation hit (high) $1.75t by december 31 to resolve YES, the company would need to roughly double from the reported $900 billion mark inside roughly seven months — a step requiring either a second up-round in late 2026 or a tender event repricing existing shares. Historical comps are limited: SpaceX is tipped for a public listing above $1.5 trillion as soon as June 2026 following its February merger with xAI at a combined $1.25 trillion, per Forbes. Watch points through year-end include closure of the rumored $300 billion raise, any disclosed annualized revenue run-rate, the Pentagon litigation outcome, and whether Polymarket's new private-company contracts attract enough liquidity to anchor a real-time secondary mark. [CNBC, May 19]

Traded on Polymarket — $103K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 50c YES with $103K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.