As of October 31, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?” at 14% YES with $54K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 14% probability to: will north carolina enact a data center moratorium by june 30, 2027?.
See which tracked wallets hold this market (entries, size, P&L), the models’ fair value and entry targets — and get an alert within a minute when they trade.
Unlock PRO — $29/moMajority of models lean NO, but not unanimous. Weak edge — consider waiting for stronger signal.
| Model | Says | Fair Value estimated fair price | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| MATH PIN Model | NO | 98c | — |
| MATH Compound Signal | NO | 71c | — |
| AI DeepSeek Quant | NO | 88c | 68% |
| AI Grok Contrarian | ??? | 28c | 42% |
| AI Gemini Flash | NO | 84c | 75% |
| AI Kimi Macro | NO | 92c | 78% |
| AI Claude Analysis | ??? | — | 0% |
5 of 7 models estimate NO fair value above market (71–98c vs 86c). Kimi Macro leads with 78% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 87c — market prices it at 86c. 1-point gap supports NO.
The single tracked wallet is positioned exclusively NO at 86c, signaling conviction that a North Carolina data center moratorium will not materialize by June 30, 2027. With no YES entries recorded, there is no counter-flow from informed buyers to challenge the bearish lean. This one-sided positioning suggests the market's dominant direction remains toward NO unless new legislative catalysts emerge.
| Wallet | Category | Side | Amount | P&L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x4337..82 | MM | NO | $14.9K | +1% |
Every tracked position sits on the NO side at 86c and is in profit, with zero YES holders in the green at a 14c mark. The absence of profitable YES exposure means there is no built-in support from winners defending the 14c level, leaving the price vulnerable to further drift toward NO. With NO entries clustered at 86c, the market is pricing roughly a 14% chance and holders have little incentive to exit early.
Polymarket prices YES at 14c while Kalshi has it at 20c — a 6-cent gap. Kalshi traders are more bullish on YES. Our model estimates fair value at 13c.
| Platform | YES Price | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 14c | $54K |
| Kalshi | 20c | — |
| Our Model | 13c | — |