Politics
Resolves: Nov 2026 12 days left Volume: $80K

Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

NO
93c
YES
7c

As of October 22, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?” at 7% YES with $80K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here, 1 of them tier-1; the dominant side is YES.

Prediction markets give a 7% probability to: will todd achilles win the idaho senate race in 2026?.

Currently at 7%

Traded on Polymarket — $80K Volume

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OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis

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MODERATE AI VERDICT
BUY YES 7c

Smart money entered YES at 8c.

+300% TARGET YIELD
4c
86c
100c
7c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 8c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x4488..19 ★RetailYES$1.0K-14%
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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

YES wallets entered between 8c. At current price 7c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
0% in profit

Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 89 Cents

Significant 89-cent gap: Polymarket at 7c vs Kalshi at 96c. Kalshi traders see a substantially different probability. Our model estimates fair value at 7c.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket7c$80K
Kalshi96c—
Our Model7c—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 7% YES with $80K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.