Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NO
82c
YES
18c
Prediction markets put the probability at 18%: Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (18% YES).
Up from 7% to 18% since 2026-04-14 (+11pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $1.0M Volume
Active market on Polymarket with $1.0M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 18c YES.