Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 7% YES on Polymarket with $63K in total trading volume.

93c

YES

Prediction markets put the probability at 7%: Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (7% YES).

Down from 9% to 7% since 2026-05-28 (-2pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $63K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($63K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 7c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 7% YES with $63K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.