Geopolitics
Resolves: Mar 2027
10 months left
Volume: $293K
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES).
Down from 16% to 14% since 2026-04-13
(-2pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $293K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 14c YES with $293K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.
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Deep Analysis — Geopolitics Markets
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Frequently Asked Questions
What are the current odds for Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 14% YES with $293K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.