Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?'?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 26% YES on Polymarket with $173K in total trading volume.

74c

YES

26c

Prediction markets put the probability at 26%: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (26% YES).

Up from 18% to 26% since 2026-07-16 (+8pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $173K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 26c YES with $173K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 26% YES with $173K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.