Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
NO
84c
YES
16c
Prediction markets put the probability at 45%: Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election. Currently, markets are divided (45% YES, 55% NO). Republicans’ Chances of Losing Alaska Governor and Senate Races—Polls.
Down from 33% to 16% since 2026-04-10 (-17pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $58K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($58K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 16c YES.