As of November 2, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?” at 8% YES with $96K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Trump Media announced a new token for 2026, not a Trump coin by December 31. Odds remain low at 8% YES.
Trump Media & Technology Group announced on December 31, 2025 that it will issue a new cryptocurrency to its shareholders in partnership with Crypto.com, operating on the Cronos blockchain, according to a company statement. The disclosure came just hours before the calendar deadline referenced in the market asking whether Trump would launch a coin by December 31. The announcement described a token distribution to the company's investor base rather than a personal memecoin issuance by the president, a distinction that shapes how the contract's resolution criteria may be read. [Bloomberg, Dec 31]
The new token is expected to launch in 2026, with Trump Media framing the distribution as a shareholder benefit tied to its Truth Social platform. Coverage noted that the existing $TRUMP meme coin has fallen 14% over the past month, while the affiliated $MELANIA token has also drawn scrutiny, factors that could weigh on the reception of any new offering. The structure of the deal — a corporate issuance through a publicly traded company rather than a direct presidential launch — leaves open whether the event satisfies the market's wording, and the timing of the announcement relative to the December 31 cutoff is central to that question. [Business Insider, Jan 1]
Trump's personal wealth grew in 2025 through holdings in Trump Media and the Official TRUMP memecoin, even as investors in those vehicles absorbed losses, according to Axios. The next procedural milestones are the formal token distribution timeline and any regulatory filings tied to the Crypto.com partnership, which would clarify whether a launch occurs in 2026 and under whose auspices. Traders tracking whether Trump will launch a coin by December 31 now face a resolution question centered on whether a Trump Media shareholder token counts as a presidential coin launch, with the company's own statement pointing to a 2026 debut. [Axios, Jan 2]
None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.
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