Prediction markets put the probability at 7%: Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (7% YES). Bitget Wallet, a best crypto wallet.
The question of whether Uber will ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027 centers on the company's co-founder, who was forced out as chief executive in 2017 amid workplace and governance scandals. The market resolves "Yes" only if Uber Technologies, Inc. extends a definitive request, offer, or solicitation for Kalanick to return in any formal role before the deadline; absent such an invitation, it resolves "No." Sentiment inside the company has not been uniform: more than 1,000 workers previously signed a petition urging Uber's board to bring the former chief back in an active role, signaling residual internal support despite the circumstances of his departure. [NYT, recent]
The practical case for whether Uber would ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027 has weakened as both parties moved in separate directions. Kalanick has relocated to Austin, and speculation that he might join Tesla was publicly debunked by Elon Musk, while Uber has continued to perform strongly under its current leadership, including an expanding robotaxi push. In a March 13, 2026 interview on TBPN, Kalanick detailed his own venture, Atoms, built from the long-stealth City Storage Systems, describing a bet on real estate, robotics, and autonomous delivery aimed at lowering prepared-food costs toward grocery-store prices. [YouTube/TBPN, Mar 13]
With Kalanick now focused on Atoms and Uber's board showing no formal indication of reversing the 2017 separation, the near-term path to a qualifying invitation remains narrow. The resolution criteria are strict, requiring an explicit, definitive move by Uber rather than informal advisory contact or public praise, which raises the bar for any "Yes" outcome. Whether Uber will ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027 would likely hinge on a material shift in either the company's leadership situation or Kalanick's own commitments, neither of which is currently evident. The market runs until 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2027. [Perplexity, recent]
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($89K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 7c YES.
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