National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier

Prediction markets put the probability at 57%: National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaier. Currently, markets are divided (57% YES, 43% NO).

What’s Happening

The first-round matchup between Aleksandar Vukic and Daniel Altmaier at the **National Bank Open** is scheduled for Monday, August 3, 2026, at IGA Stadium in Montreal, with the contest placed on Court 2 starting at 11 a.m. local time. Vukic, who entered the ATP 1000 event through the qualifying draw, and Altmaier, ranked world number 62, will meet on outdoor hard courts for the first time this season. The match was originally listed on Sunday’s schedule but was moved to Monday’s order of play, according to the tournament’s official daily schedule published by Sportsnet. [Sportsnet, Mon Aug 3]

Both players arrive in Montreal with contrasting recent form. Vukic, an Australian qualifier, played a first-round match at the 2025 edition of the National Bank Open against Pedro Martinez, while Altmaier faced Yosuke Watanuki in the same tournament last year. In the current 2026 draw, Vukic’s qualifying run included a straight-sets win, while Altmaier received direct entry into the main draw. The winner of this match will advance to face either Luca Van Assche or qualifier Titouan Droguet in the second round, as per the bracket published by the tournament organizers. The current probability split of 57% for Vukic and 43% for Altmaier reflects the market’s assessment of their hard-court capabilities, though Altmaier holds a higher ATP ranking by 43 places. [Thestatszone, Sun Aug 2]

The match carries significance for both players’ ATP rankings and their positioning in the North American hard-court swing leading into the US Open. Vukic, who has spent most of the season on the Challenger circuit, is seeking his first main-draw win at an ATP 1000 event since 2024, while Altmaier aims to improve on his career-best result at the Canadian Open, where he reached the second round in 2023. The match is scheduled as the second contest on Court 2, following the Van Assche-Droguet match, with play expected to begin no earlier than 12:30 p.m. ET. The Montreal tournament runs concurrently with the Toronto women’s event, and both draws feature a mix of established veterans and emerging qualifiers. [Montreal, Sun Aug 2]

Traded on Polymarket — $87K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($87K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 57c YES.