Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 28% YES on Polymarket with $3.3M in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

72c

YES

28c

Prediction markets put the probability at 28%: Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (28% YES).

Down from 66% to 28% since 2026-05-02 (-38pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $3.3M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $3.3M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 28c YES.

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$3.3M traded on this market. OddsShift tracks 1 smart wallets and runs 5 AI models to find where the market is wrong.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 72c

Smart money entered NO at 64c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 64c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x5188..04	MM	NO	$3.3K	+13%
This Market Entered at 64c → now 72c (+13%), $3.3K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jul 28 DatePositionAmountTotal Jul 28BUYNO64+$2,952$2,952 Realized— Unrealized+$392 Total Profit+$392 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1504) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 64c. At current price 28c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 28c YES — $3.3M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 28c with $3.3M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 28c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	28c	$3.3M
Our Model	28c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 28% YES with $3.3M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.