Prediction markets put the probability at 19%: Databricks IPO before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (19% YES). Polymarket launches private company trading so investors can speculate on Anthropic, OpenAI.
Down from 30% to 20% since 2026-04-06 (-10pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $470K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 20c YES with $470K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.