Economics
Resolves: Dec 2026 7 months left Volume: $105K

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

NO
88c
YES
12c

Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES).

Down from 18% to 12% since 2026-04-06 (-6pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $105K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 12c YES with $105K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 12% YES with $105K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.