Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2

As of September 2, 2026, Polymarket prices “Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2” at 50% YES with $159K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 50%: Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2. Currently, markets are divided (50% YES, 50% NO). Ginnen Group Sports, an event management company in Australia working with Pacquiao, on Sunday posted a fight-style poster on its Instagram page.

What’s Happening

The proposed Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 remains in a state of flux as of late June 2026, with the matchup's timeline thrown into doubt by legal and contractual disputes. On June 25, 2026, a judge ruled against Mayweather, approving an injunction filed by CSI that blocks his scheduled exhibition bout against Greek kickboxer Mike Zambidis, originally set for June 26 in Athens. Court documents indicate CSI Sports has filed a motion to prohibit Mayweather from entering into other contracts before facing Tyson and then Pacquiao, per their existing agreement, which could push any potential Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 into late 2026 or early 2027 [MMA Mania, Jun 25].

The uncertainty stems from conflicting signals about the fight's status. On June 8, 2026, Ginnen Group Sports, an Australian event management company working with Pacquiao, posted a fight-style poster on Instagram featuring both boxers and a photo of T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, though without a specific date. However, the bout is not listed on T-Mobile Arena's official event calendar, and Pacquiao has referred to his own upcoming activity as a "tuneup" in recent interviews. Earlier reports from April 29, 2026 indicated the rematch was slated for The Sphere in Las Vegas, but that venue and date have since been called into question, with Forbes reporting the location was set to change [USA Today, Jun 08][Forbes, Apr 29].

The legal wrangling centers on CSI Sports, which holds contractual rights to Mayweather's bouts. The company plans to stage a Mayweather-Tyson exhibition in September 2026, a move that would necessarily delay any Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 until after that event. Pacquiao's team has acknowledged the rematch is postponed, according to court records seen by The Athletic, which note CSI would require a "fighter acceptable" to them before any Pacquiao bout proceeds. With Mayweather's immediate schedule blocked by the injunction and the Tyson exhibition prioritized, the market's even 50% YES / 50% NO probability reflects genuine uncertainty about whether the two legends will ever meet again, and if so, when [The Athletic, Jun 26].

Traded on Polymarket — $159K Volume