Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?'?

As of November 2026, prediction markets price this at 82% YES on Polymarket with $70K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

82c

18c

As of November 1, 2026, Polymarket prices “Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?” at 82% YES with $70K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is YES.

Prediction markets give a 82% probability to: israel x iran ceasefire continues through november 7?.

Currently at 82%

Traded on Polymarket — $70K Volume

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OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

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MODERATE AI VERDICT

BUY YES 82c

Smart money entered YES at 79c. 100% of YES wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 79c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x12d6..a8	Retail	YES	$4.9K	+4%
This Market Entered at 79c → now 82c (+4%), $4.9K on YES Activity · 3 events · Oct 29 → Oct 31 DatePositionAmountTotal Oct 29BUYYES80+$539$539 Oct 30BUYYES78+$2,005$2,531 Oct 31BUYYES79+$2,199$4,744 Realized— Unrealized+$204 Total Profit+$204 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1492 trades).

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 79c. At current price 82c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 82c YES — $70K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 82c with $70K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 82c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	82c	$70K
Our Model	82c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

As of November 2026, Polymarket prices this at 82% YES with $70K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.