Prediction markets put the probability at 81%: Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31. Currently, markets see this as likely (81% YES). The big picture: On Wednesday, the Senate Banking Committee is set to advance Kevin Warsh's nomination to lead the Fed, after Sen.
Up from 67% to 81% since 2026-04-14 (+14pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $67K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($67K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 81c YES.