Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Prediction markets put the probability at 62%: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals. Currently, markets are divided (62% YES, 38% NO). Brewers take on the Cardinals after Chourio's 4-hit game.

What’s Happening

The Milwaukee Brewers and St. Louis Cardinals split the first two games of their pivotal three-game series at Busch Stadium, with the Brewers securing a decisive 6-2 victory on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. In that win, left-hander Aaron Ashby tied Atlanta's Chris Sale for the major league lead with his sixth win, backed by a four-run first inning highlighted by Andrew Vaughn's three-run homer. The Brewers' offense has been fueled by rookie Jackson Chourio, who went 6-for-12 across the first two games of the series, including a four-hit performance on Monday that set the stage for the team's bounce-back win. The Cardinals, who entered the series at 21-14 and second in the NL Central, took the opener 6-3 on Monday behind Kyle Leahy's 5 1/3 innings of one-run ball and three RBIs from catcher Iván Herrera. [ESPN, May 6]

This series carries significant weight in the early National League Central standings, as the 18-16 Brewers sit fourth in the division while the Cardinals hold second place. The Brewers have historically struggled at Busch Stadium, having dropped three consecutive series there prior to this matchup, making Wednesday's win particularly important for their divisional positioning. Both teams are dealing with key injuries, as Milwaukee is without Brandon Woodruff (15-day IL, expected return May 17) and Christian Yelich (10-day IL, expected return May 18). The Cardinals, meanwhile, have relied on power hitting, ranking fifth in the majors with 44 home runs as a team. The pitching matchup for the series finale on Thursday features Brewers right-hander Sproat (0-2, 6.75 ERA) against Cardinals right-hander Pallante (3-2, 3.73 ERA). [MLB.com, May 3]

Looking ahead, the outcome of this series will have immediate implications for the divisional race and the upcoming schedule. The Brewers, who have won four of their last six games, will look to carry momentum into a weekend series against the Chicago Cubs, while the Cardinals aim to rebound and maintain their hold on second place. The milwaukee brewers vs. st. louis cardinals rivalry remains one of the most competitive in the NL Central, with both teams vying for playoff positioning early in the season. The milwaukee brewers vs. st. louis cardinals series finale on Thursday will determine which team takes the series, with first pitch scheduled for 1:15 p.m. EDT at Busch Stadium. The milwaukee brewers vs. st. louis cardinals matchup has historically been tightly contested, and this series is proving no different as both teams battle for divisional supremacy. [FOX Sports, May 6]

Traded on Polymarket — $53K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($53K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 62c YES.