Prediction markets put the probability at 18%: New COVID variant of concern before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (18% YES). Ever since COVID, the media has been quick to jump on any new disease outbreak, trying to catch the beginning of the next global pandemic.
Price has been stable at 18% since 2026-04-06
Traded on Polymarket — $241K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 18c YES with $241K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.