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Resolves: Jan 2027 53 days left Volume: $690K

No one announced as next James Bond?

NO
94c
YES
6c

As of November 3, 2026, Polymarket prices “No one announced as next James Bond?” at 6% YES with $690K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Amazon has not officially announced who will succeed Daniel Craig as James Bond, though speculation continues about possible candidates.

Down from 26% to 6% since 2026-08-19 (-20pp)

What’s Happening

Amazon has not officially named Daniel Craig's successor as James Bond, even as speculation around Callum Turner intensified in early November 2026. On November 2, 2026, CBR reported that Amazon has yet to make an official announcement, while noting that reporter Jeff Sneider and World of Reel have pointed to Turner, citing British tabloid interpretations of his recent departure as director of his production company Twentytwo Films as a sign he is clearing his schedule for Bond 26. The report stressed that no studio confirmation exists. [CBR, Nov 2]

The ambiguity matters because the studio has kept the process opaque. Amazon confirmed in May 2026 that the search for Craig's replacement was underway but has not announced a shortlist or named the next 007, and it has said it will not comment on specific casting details while the process continues. Separately, Gary Oldman claimed in September 2026 that the next Bond had already been chosen but not announced, and producer Amy Pascal called an announcement by the end of 2026 "a good bet." The film, directed by Denis Villeneuve from a script by Steven Knight, targets 2028. [Robb Report, Sep 25]

The question of whether no one is announced as the next James Bond therefore remains open despite mounting reports. On November 2, 2026, Cosmic Book News reported that an official announcement is expected before the end of the year, citing the reporter who broke Craig's casting. Until Amazon issues confirmation, the "no one announced as next James Bond" status persists, with Turner's purported selection circulating as unconfirmed press speculation rather than studio fact. [Cosmic Book News, Nov 2]

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On this market: 5/7 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.

No verdict on this market

None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for No one announced as next James Bond?

As of November 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $690K in total volume.

Where can I bet on No one announced as next James Bond?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What do AI models predict for No one announced as next James Bond?

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 15c YES. 5 models agree on direction.