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Resolves: Dec 2026 7 months left Volume: $75K

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

NO
88c
YES
12c

Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES). OpenAI’s new phone being fast-tracked to launch next year, per report.

Down from 26% to 12% since 2026-04-06 (-14pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $75K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($75K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 12c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
PRO Analysis

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 12% YES with $75K in total volume.

Where can I bet on OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What do AI models predict for OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 18c YES. 3 models agree on direction.