Tools
Market Radar Copy Trading Compare Arbitrage X-Tweet Market Pricing
Learn
How It Works Accuracy Tracker Prediction Markets Guide Getting Started Legal & Regulation Tax Guide Safety Review
Other
Resolves: Dec 2026 7 months left Volume: $458K

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

NO
74c
YES
26c

Prediction markets put the probability at 32%: Will 2026 be the hottest year on record. Currently, markets are divided (32% YES, 68% NO). Hartford sets new record high as Connecticut sees first heat wave of 2026.

Down from 34% to 26% since 2026-04-06 (-8pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $458K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 26c YES with $458K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

Full AI Analysis Available on PRO Markets

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

Deep Analysis — Other Markets

These Other markets have full AI verdicts, smart money tracking, and 5-model analysis:

Other
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 11c · 13 wallets
AI Verdict + Smart Money + 5 Models
 Other
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
YES 14c · 4 wallets
AI Verdict + Smart Money + 5 Models
 Other
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
YES 58c · 8 wallets
AI Verdict + Smart Money + 5 Models
 Other
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
YES 8c · 1 wallets
AI Verdict + Smart Money + 5 Models
See all 107 analyzed markets →

Related Markets

Other
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
YES 6c
 Other
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
YES 48c
 Other
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
YES 22c
 Other
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
YES 11c
 Other
AI bubble burst in 2026?
YES 23c

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 26% YES with $458K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What do AI models predict for Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 70c YES. 3 models agree on direction.