Geopolitics
Resolves: Jul 2027 9 months left Volume: $59K

Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

NO
82c
YES
18c

As of August 30, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?” at 18% YES with $59K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 18%: Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (18% YES).

Price has been stable at 18% since 2026-08-30

Traded on Polymarket — $59K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

No verdict on this market

None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 18% YES with $59K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.