Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Prediction markets put the probability at 24%: Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (24% YES).

What’s Happening

Anthropic closed a $65 billion Series H funding round on May 28, 2026, pushing its post-money valuation to $965 billion and leapfrogging OpenAI to become the most valuable private artificial intelligence startup. The round included participation from Altimeter Capital, Dragoneer, Greenoaks and Sequoia, alongside $15 billion in previously committed hyperscaler investments — including a $5 billion commitment from Amazon announced in April. The new valuation nearly tripled the $380 billion mark Anthropic posted in February, and surpassed OpenAI's $852 billion post-money valuation set in its March funding round. [Forbes, May 28]

The capital raise coincided with sharp revenue acceleration. Anthropic's annualized revenue crossed $47 billion in May 2026, up from $30 billion earlier in the year and $10 billion in annual revenue the prior year. On June 1, 2026, Anthropic confidentially filed paperwork to go public, stepping into one of the most active IPO pipelines in recent memory. The contest for anthropic's valuation hit (high) $1.25t hinges on whether late-stage secondary trades or an IPO pricing event between now and June 30 can deliver a roughly 30% markup on top of the $965 billion Series H mark in under four weeks. Chip manufacturers joined the latest round, reflecting the centrality of compute infrastructure to the AI funding race. [TechCrunch, May 28]

The path for anthropic's valuation hit (high) $1.25t before the June 30 cutoff narrows to a confidential S-1 disclosure or an upsized secondary tender carrying a step-up multiple. The Series H closed at $965 billion only on May 28, and confidential IPO filings typically precede public pricing by months, not weeks, leaving little runway for a fresh valuation print to be officially registered before quarter-end. Anthropic's annualized revenue trajectory — roughly 4.7x year-over-year — provides fundamental support for further markups, though the specific $1.25 trillion threshold would require investors to underwrite a valuation gap of approximately $285 billion above the most recent round in a compressed window. [Forbes, Jun 01]

Traded on Polymarket — $51K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($51K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 24c YES.