Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
NO
90c
YES
10c
Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES).
Down from 20% to 10% since 2026-05-02 (-10pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $139K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 10c YES with $139K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.