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Resolves: Dec 2026 8 months left Volume: $134K

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

NO
86c
YES
14c

Prediction markets put the probability at 14%: Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (14% YES). However, "Tampa's remarkable streak of avoiding a direct hit from a major hurricane continued with Milton," DaSilva said.

Up from 10% to 14% since 2026-04-14 (+4pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $134K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 14c YES with $134K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Last updated: April 27, 2026, 22:06 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 14% YES with $134K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.