Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?

As of November 3, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?” at 11% YES with $55K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 11%: Will Catherine Cortez Masto vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (11% YES).

What’s Happening

The Senate voted 49 to 50 on September 15, 2026 against opening debate on the Clarity Act, effectively ending the bill's prospects for the year and making a "Yea" vote from Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) moot. According to 24/7 Wall St., Cortez Masto was among the Democrats who participated in negotiations on the legislation but ultimately voted against it, alongside Senators Kirsten Gillibrand, Mark Warner, Cory Booker, Raphael Warnock, Ruben Gallego, and Angela Alsobrooks. Senator Elissa Slotkin cited ethics provisions she called "simply too thin," pointing to money-laundering safeguards and CFTC staffing concerns. The failed cloture motion followed months of negotiations that had once appeared to be building bipartisan momentum. [24/7 Wall St., Sep 16]

Cortez Masto, the ranking member on the Senate Banking Subcommittee on Financial Institutions and Consumer Protection, had repeatedly raised objections that the Clarity Act did not go far enough to protect law enforcement and consumers. A May 2026 draft added Section 604(d), a carve-out preserving Section 1960(b)(1)(C) for specific-intent criminal conduct, which was designed to answer her objections as well as those of Judiciary Chair Chuck Grassley. Galaxy reported at the time that her vote would turn on whether she viewed that carve-out as sufficient. By July 2026, her office, the White House, and the Treasury Department were jointly drafting targeted changes to the provision, and the Major County Sheriffs of America shifted its stance to "neutral." [Galaxy, May 12]

A crypto industry source told The Block in August that Cortez Masto would not support the bill, adding that opponents were focused on ensuring other lawmakers did not follow suit. Senate Majority Leader John Thune had said weeks earlier that "we will probably have a vote on the Clarity Act," while cautioning it depended on Democrats supplying the votes for cloture. With the Senate now done for the year on the measure, the question of whether Catherine Cortez Masto would vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act has been settled by the chamber's September 15 procedural vote, and any renewed consideration would require the bill to be reintroduced in a future Congress. [The Block, Aug 11]

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