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Resolves: Oct 2026 ended Volume: $486K

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

YES
92c
NO
8c

As of August 31, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?” at 92% YES with $486K traded. No tracked smart-money wallet holds a position on this market yet.

Prediction markets put the probability at 50%: Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026. Currently, markets are divided (50% YES, 50% NO).

Up from 32% to 92% since 2026-08-21 (+60pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $486K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

No tracked smart-money positions on this market yet

OddsShift follows 166 on-chain Polymarket wallets, tiered daily by their record on resolved markets. When one of them takes a position here, this page gets the wallet table, model fair value and a verdict.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 92% YES with $486K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.