Prediction markets put the probability at 36%: Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026. Currently, markets are divided (36% YES, 64% NO). Boycott obsession: European countries that failed to oust Israel from Eurovision refuse to air it.
Down from 39% to 36% since 2026-04-14 (-3pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $86K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($86K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 36c YES.