As of August 31, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” at 9% YES with $2.0M traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Prediction markets put the probability at 9%: Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (9% YES).
$2.0M traded on this market. OddsShift tracks 166 tracked wallets and runs up to 5 AI models to find where the market is wrong.
No verdict on this market
None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live.
When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.