As of October 13, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?” at 7% YES with $51K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 7% probability to: will mark warner vote "yea" on the clarity act?.
On this market: 5/7 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
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5 of 7 models estimate NO fair value below market (74–98c vs 93c). Kimi Macro leads with 78% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 89c — market prices it at 93c. 4-point gap supports YES.
Why One Model Is Uncertain: Grok Contrarian at 22c — Market's 7% YES heavily prices pure partisan lockstep against Clarity Act, yet ignores Warner's repeated bipartisan fintech/crypto votes ...
1 of 1 Wallets Is a Politics Specialist
The single tracked wallet entered NO at 79c, meaning it is already sitting on a 72c gain and has no incentive to exit early. This smart-money positioning signals confidence that Mark Warner will not vote Yea, reinforcing the bearish YES outlook.
With YES at 7c, every YES position is underwater while all NO positions are in profit, creating strong one-sided pressure against the upside. The absence of profitable YES holders removes any natural bid support, making further YES decay likely unless new catalysts emerge.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 7c YES — $51K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 7c with $51K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 11c. 4-point gap suggests market may undervalue YES.
What are the current odds for Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 7% YES with $51K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 11c YES. 5 models agree on direction.
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