Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
YES
88c
NO
12c
As of August 31, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?” at 88% YES with $392K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Prediction markets put the probability at 72%: Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026. Currently, markets see this as likely (72% YES).
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
No verdict on this market
None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live.
When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.