Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?'?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 10% YES on Polymarket with $52K in total trading volume.

90c

YES

10c

Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES). OpenAI launches its new family of models with GPT-5.6.

Down from 12% to 10% since 2026-08-13 (-2pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $52K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($52K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 10c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 10% YES with $52K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.