As of November 2, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?” at 91% YES with $167K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.
Predict.fun is currently priced at 91% YES for a token launch by November 30, 2026, with a submission deadline of November 26, 2026 at 09:00 UTC.
Predict.fun's governance token launch has slipped past its original October 30 target, with the BNB Chain prediction market now facing an undated timeline for its token generation event. The delay follows earlier market activity that had priced a 22% chance of a launch before October 31, rising to 97% for a launch before November 30 on Polymarket. According to Tokenomist data, the project plans to unlock 16% of its 1 billion token supply at launch, with core contributors and early backers subject to a 24-month cliff followed by monthly vesting over 36 months. The Season 1 airdrop allocation totals 70 million tokens, or 7% of supply. [Coinedition, Nov 02]
The airdrop mechanics have introduced additional complexity for claimants. Participants face a choice between 35% now or 100% after one year, with a submission deadline of November 26, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. Those selecting the immediate payout option must submit before the next weekly cut-off on November 5 at 09:00 UTC to reach an earlier payout batch. The form can be submitted only once, and the 65% forfeited under the immediate option cannot be reclaimed by the token project, according to the announcement. The structure has drawn scrutiny as claimants weigh liquidity against long-term exposure. [Cryptoticker, Nov 01]
The delay places Predict.fun's token launch in a broader November unlock calendar led by Monad's $323 million release, while other projects have taken divergent paths. KAST confirmed on November 2, 2026 that it would cancel its token generation event entirely, converting eligible points into non-tradable Pioneer Units through a special purpose vehicle. For Predict.fun, the question of whether it will launch a token by November 30, 2026 remains open following the October 30 delay, with no revised date disclosed. The project's 1 billion token supply and vesting schedule remain unchanged in public communications. [Cryptobriefing, Nov 02]
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