Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?'?

As of October 2026, prediction markets price this at 74% YES on Polymarket with $50K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

74c

26c

As of October 22, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?” at 74% YES with $50K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is YES.

Prediction markets give a 74% probability to: will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by november 30, 2026?.

Currently at 74%

Traded on Polymarket — $50K Volume

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OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

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MODERATE AI VERDICT

BUY YES 74c

Smart money entered YES at 52c. 100% of YES wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 52c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xd5cc..a4	MM	YES	$5.2K	+43%
This Market Entered at 52c → now 74c (+43%), $5.2K on YES Activity · 5 events · Oct 09 → Oct 18 DatePositionAmountTotal Oct 09BUYYES51+$10$10 Oct 14BUYYES58+$155$167 Oct 16BUYYES51+$2,033$2,180 Oct 17BUYYES52+$453$2,677 Oct 18BUYYES52+$984$3,650 Realized— Unrealized+$1,563 Total Profit+$1,563 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1298) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 52c. At current price 74c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 74c YES — $50K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 74c with $50K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 74c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	74c	$50K
Our Model	74c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 74% YES with $50K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.