Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
NO
81c
YES
19c
Prediction markets put the probability at 19%: Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (19% YES).
Currently at 19%
Traded on Polymarket — $98K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($98K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 19c YES.