Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO
72c
YES
28c
Prediction markets put the probability at 28%: Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (28% YES).
Currently at 28%
Traded on Polymarket — $366K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 28c YES with $366K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.