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Resolves: Jan 2027 3 months left Volume: $858K

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

NO
94c
YES
6c

As of August 31, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?” at 6% YES with $858K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 6%: Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (6% YES).

Down from 28% to 6% since 2026-06-30 (-22pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $858K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 166 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

No verdict on this market

None of the 166 tracked wallets holds a position here, so the Radar makes no call — price, volume and news above are live. When a tracked wallet takes a position, this page gets a verdict.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $858K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.