Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
NO
82c
YES
18c
Prediction markets put the probability at 16%: Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (16% YES).
Up from 16% to 18% since 2026-06-22 (+2pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $51K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($51K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 18c YES.