Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
NO
88c
YES
12c
As of October 19, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?” at 12% YES with $59K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 12% probability to: will spider-man: brand new day be the #1 searched movie on google this year?.
On this market: 6/7 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
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6 of 7 models estimate NO fair value below market (72–98c vs 88c). Gemini Flash leads with 85% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 86c — market prices it at 88c. 2-point gap supports YES.
Why One Model Is Uncertain: Claude Analysis at Nonec — not available tonight (Claude CLI session limit or nightly cap)
1 Active Wallets on This Market
The single tracked wallet entered NO at 84c, signaling conviction that Spider-Man: Brand New Day will not top Google movie searches this year. With only one wallet on the dominant NO side, this is thin but directional smart-money positioning favoring further YES decay.
With YES at 12c, every YES holder is underwater while all NO positions are in profit, creating strong downside pressure on the YES price. The absence of any profitable YES entries suggests no meaningful support at current levels, and the 84c NO entry implies the market sees roughly 84% probability against this outcome.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 12c YES — $59K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 12c with $59K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 14c. 2-point gap is within normal range — no significant mispricing.
What are the current odds for Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 12% YES with $59K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 14c YES. 6 models agree on direction.
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