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Economics Prediction Markets

Live odds on 80 economics prediction markets — Fed rate decisions, inflation targets, recession odds. Smart money and AI models track the macro events that matter.

Real-time odds from Polymarket & Kalshi 5 AI models analyze every market 162 top wallets tracked on-chain
All Politics 39 Geopolitics 11 Economics 12 Crypto 7 Sports 23 Science 1 Other 7
12 active markets
Economics

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 42c. 1 smart wallets tracked.

NO
58%
YES
42%
+36c edge $1K from 1 alpha +200% potential Full analysis
Economics

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 88c. 2 smart wallets tracked.

YES
88%
NO
12%
-1c edge $10K from 2 alpha +171% potential Full analysis
Economics

US recession by end of 2026?

3 alpha wallets are betting YES at 30% — traders see recession risk rising but still favor a soft landing through end of 2026.

NO
70%
YES
30%
0c edge $36K from 3 alpha +11% potential Full analysis
Economics

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 8c. 3 smart wallets tracked.

NO
92%
YES
8%
+10c edge $10K from 1 tier-1 · 2 alpha +10% potential Full analysis
Economics

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 16c. 2 smart wallets tracked.

NO
84%
YES
16%
-7c edge $4K from 1 tier-1 · 1 alpha +86% potential Full analysis
Economics

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 10c. 1 smart wallets tracked.

NO
90%
YES
10%
-11c edge $3K from 1 tier-1 · 0 alpha +98% potential Full analysis
Economics

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 20c. 1 smart wallets tracked.

NO
80%
YES
20%
-2c edge $3K from 1 alpha +91% potential Full analysis
Economics

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 95c. 1 smart wallets tracked.

YES
95%
NO
5%
-22c edge $4K from 1 alpha +67% potential Full analysis
Economics

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 16c. 1 smart wallets tracked.

NO
84%
YES
16%
+58c edge $13K from 1 alpha +73% potential Full analysis
Economics

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 34c. 2 smart wallets tracked.

NO
66%
YES
34%
+51c edge $20K from 2 alpha +132% potential Full analysis
Economics

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 16c. 3 smart wallets tracked.

NO
84%
YES
16%
+16c edge $25K from 3 alpha +12% potential Full analysis
Economics

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Economics market on Polymarket. Current YES price: 10c. 1 smart wallets tracked.

NO
90%
YES
10%
+7c edge $3K from 1 alpha +5% potential Full analysis

All Economics Markets

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
NO 88c
$7.9M
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
NO 72c
$2.4M
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2026?
NO 80c
$2.0M
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
NO 76c
$1.7M
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
NO 76c
$1.1M
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
NO 82c
$1.0M
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 74c
$935K
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
NO 84c
$929K
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
NO 94c
$778K
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
YES 86c
$717K
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
NO 89c
$581K
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
NO 59c
$580K
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
NO 70c
$573K
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
NO 58c
$557K
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
NO 94c
$514K
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
NO 92c
$488K
Databricks IPO before 2027?
NO 65c
$448K
Discord IPO before 2027?
YES 63c
$427K
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
YES 64c
$375K
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?
NO 88c
$371K
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
NO 72c
$327K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
NO 80c
$323K
Anduril IPO before 2027?
NO 82c
$321K
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES 64c
$306K
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
NO 89c
$293K
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
YES 88c
$281K
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
YES 60c
$278K
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
YES 52c
$258K
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?
NO 72c
$252K
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
NO 77c
$252K
Stripe IPO before 2027?
NO 81c
$231K
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?
NO 82c
$225K
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
NO 54c
$197K
Celonis IPO before 2027?
NO 84c
$195K
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
NO 82c
$180K
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
YES 74c
$180K
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
YES 50c
$171K
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?
NO 82c
$169K
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
NO 86c
$157K
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?
NO 87c
$145K
Ramp IPO before 2027?
NO 82c
$140K
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
NO 70c
$136K
Mistral AI IPO before 2027?
NO 81c
$134K
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
NO 86c
$134K
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
NO 95c
$133K
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
NO 88c
$128K
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
NO 86c
$120K
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
NO 95c
$118K
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
YES 80c
$118K
Deel IPO before 2027?
NO 78c
$118K
Vanta IPO before 2027?
NO 76c
$115K
Brex IPO before 2027?
NO 94c
$109K
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
NO 90c
$103K
Rippling IPO before 2027?
NO 86c
$100K
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
NO 86c
$96K
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
NO 87c
$93K
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
NO 85c
$91K
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
NO 88c
$90K
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
NO 95c
$89K
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
NO 88c
$84K
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
YES 92c
$82K
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
NO 81c
$80K
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?
NO 83c
$79K
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
NO 94c
$65K
Will Amazon acquire TikTok?
NO 92c
$65K
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
YES 64c
$54K
Canada recession before 2027?
NO 60c
$54K
Remote IPO before 2027?
NO 76c
$51K

Browse All 492 Markets

Politics
98 markets · 39 analyzed
Sports
86 markets · 23 analyzed
Geopolitics
39 markets · 11 analyzed
Crypto
74 markets · 7 analyzed
Economics
80 markets · 12 analyzed
Science
11 markets · 1 analyzed
Other
104 markets · 7 analyzed