Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?

As of November 3, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?” at 88% YES with $555K traded. No tracked wallet holds a position on this market, so there is no verdict.

Prediction markets put the probability at 88%: Will STRC hit $100 by December 31. Currently, markets see this as likely (88% YES). The move comes as market participants evaluate the likelihood of STRC hitting the $100 mark by the end of 2026.

What’s Happening

Strategy, the Bitcoin-focused firm led by CEO Michael Saylor, has intensified efforts to restore its variable-rate perpetual preferred stock STRC to its $100 par value, a level the company treats as essential to its fundraising model. On September 9, 2026, Strategy doubled its STRC buyback authorization to $2 billion while pausing Bitcoin purchases, signaling that repairing the preferred's price took priority over further BTC accumulation. The company has said it will not issue new STRC shares below par, meaning the security must recover stably to $100 before Strategy can fully resume raising capital through preferred-share issuance. [CryptoSlate, Sep 09]

The buyback campaign has moved the price meaningfully. By mid-September, STRC traded near its $100 offering price, and market participants were actively weighing the likelihood of STRC hitting $100 by December 31, with pricing on that outcome at roughly 73.5% YES at the time, while confidence in a near-term recovery by September 30 sat at just 18%. The gap reflected expectations that Saylor's repurchases would take time to fully anchor the price at par rather than produce an immediate snap-back. [TradingView News, Sep 17]

Momentum has since accelerated. As of October 1, 2026, the implied probability of STRC hitting $100 by December 31 had climbed to 91%, up from 80% a week earlier, according to Pluang, which attributed the surge to growing confidence in Strategy's digital credit strategy and its effect on BTC per share. Strategy continues to buy Bitcoin and repurchase STRC shares to manage its balance sheet, and the company frames STRC—marketed as "Stretch"—as central to its capital-markets approach, with internal guidance targeting issuance within a narrow band around $99–$101. Investors are now watching for further Bitcoin purchase plans and buyback announcements, which will determine whether the preferred holds par through year-end. [Pluang, Oct 01]

Traded on Polymarket — $555K Volume