Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?

Prediction markets put the probability at 55%: Will STRC hit $100 by December 31. Currently, markets are divided (55% YES, 45% NO). The market reflects this sentiment with increased activity around whether Strategy’s stock (STRC) will hit $100.

What’s Happening

Trading in the market for whether Strategy’s STRC preferred stock will hit $100 by December 31 has intensified following a series of corporate disclosures and analyst commentary. On August 5, 2026, Clear Street’s Brian Dobson stated that Michael Saylor’s strategy retains substantial upside if the company can continue generating incremental satoshis per share, a remark that coincided with the STRC hit $100 by December 31 probability rising to 47.5% from 43.5% the prior day. The move reflects growing conviction that the company’s Bitcoin accumulation model, which issues new STRC shares when the stock trades above par to purchase BTC, will resume as the preferred security approaches its $100 target price [Cryptobriefing, Aug 05].

The catalyst for the recent price action stems from Michael Saylor’s August 2 hint at a potential new Bitcoin purchase after a five-week pause, which lifted the STRC hit $100 by December 31 market from 32% to 36% YES within a day. That signal was followed by news that Saylor sold $104 million in Bitcoin to finance STRC’s preferred stock dividend obligations, a move that underscores the company’s commitment to maintaining the security’s yield despite trading below par. Strategy’s president, Phong Le, reiterated on July 31 that the company’s objective is for STRC to trade over time at $99 to $100, with continuous buybacks planned below that level, though he acknowledged that ordinary market demand ultimately determines the trading level [Cryptobriefing, Aug 04].

The path to $100 remains contingent on several factors, including Bitcoin’s spot price and Strategy’s capital management decisions. The company posted an $8.2 billion loss in its latest quarter, yet convertible debt fell 18% to about $6.7 billion while the dollar reserve rose 12% to $2.4 billion, suggesting the balance sheet is stabilizing. STRC closed at $89 on June 17, an 11% discount to par, and the at-the-money share issuance program remains paused while the stock trades below $100. Market participants will watch for any further announcements regarding Bitcoin purchases or dividend rate adjustments, as these could directly influence whether the STRC hit $100 by December 31 target is reached before year-end [The Block, Jun 17].

Traded on Polymarket — $52K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($52K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 55c YES.