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Resolves: Jan 2027 3 months left Volume: $53K

Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?

NO
92c
YES
8c

As of September 30, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?” at 8% YES with $53K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.

Prediction markets give a 8% probability to: will texas enact a data center moratorium by december 31, 2026?.

Currently at 8%

Traded on Polymarket — $53K Volume

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 7/7 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis

See which tracked wallets hold this market (entries, size, P&L), the models’ fair value and entry targets — and get an alert within a minute when they trade.

MODERATE AI VERDICT
BUY NO 92c

7/7 models agree on NO, fair value 11c vs market 8c. Weak edge — consider waiting for stronger signal.

+4% TARGET YIELD
55c
95c
100c
92c
89c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

7 of 7 Models Agree: NO

ModelSaysFair Value estimated fair priceConfidence
MATH PIN ModelNO98c—
MATH Compound SignalNO73c—
AI Claude AnalysisNO95c
74%
AI DeepSeek QuantNO92c
72%
AI Grok ContrarianNO82c
62%
AI Gemini FlashNO88c
75%
AI Kimi MacroNO95c
82%

7 of 7 models estimate NO fair value below market (73–98c vs 92c). Kimi Macro leads with 82% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of NO at 89c — market prices it at 92c. 3-point gap supports YES.

1 of 1 Wallets Is Smart Money

The single tracked wallet is positioned exclusively on NO at 89c, signaling conviction that a Texas data center moratorium will not materialize by the deadline. With no YES entries from this wallet, smart-money flow is one-sided and consistent with the market's bearish YES stance.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xd039..32SmartNO$11.8K+3%
See all 88 tracked wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

With YES at 8c, every YES holder is underwater while all NO positions are profitable, creating strong incentive for NO holders to defend the 89c entry. The absence of any profitable YES cohort removes a natural source of upward pressure, reinforcing the low probability priced into the market.

Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 49 Cents

Significant 49-cent gap: Polymarket at 8c vs Kalshi at 57c. Kalshi traders see a substantially different probability. Our model estimates fair value at 11c.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket8c$53K
Kalshi57c—
Our Model11c—
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 8% YES with $53K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 11c YES. 7 models agree on direction.